KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
gemini-4-argon-high · —
Loading selected book…
—
Stored price
gemini-4-argon-high 98.5%Leader of 3 outcomes
gemini-4-argon-high 98.5%Market quality
78 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$12.2K
Open interest
$28.9K
High open interestBid / Ask
— / —
gemini-4-argon-highSpread
—
Market data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Oct 13, 26, 5:50 PM UTCOct 19, 26, 2:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · gemini-4-argon-high
Loading selected book…
—
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Top AI model this month
KalshiWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketWhich company has best AI model end of 2026?
PolymarketBest AI model on October 19?
PolymarketWhich company has the best AI model end of November?
PolymarketWhich companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?
KalshiRules
If gemini-4-argon-high is the top-ranked AI model on Oct 19, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:LM Arena Leaderboard (Remove Style Control)
- If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win. If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win. If two models are still tied after that, the model that was released earlier will win. Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.
Rules for each outcome
- gemini-4-argon-high
- If gemini-4-argon-high is the top-ranked AI model on Oct 19, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- claude-opus-5.5-high
- If claude-opus-5.5-high is the top-ranked AI model on Oct 19, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- claude-fable-5.1-max
- If claude-fable-5.1-max is the top-ranked AI model on Oct 19, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.