Will Anthropic announce progress on a cure for cancer before their IPO?
Corporate ActionsOne-OffAIHealth & Medicine3moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 89.3%
Forecasters
18
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Sep 9, 26, 11:51 AM UTCDec 30, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will we get a cure for cancer before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill we get a cure for cancer before 2038?
Manifold MarketsWill we get a cure for cancer before 2037?
Manifold MarketsWill the FDA approve a cure for Type 1 diabetes before 2033?
KalshiFDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date?
PolymarketSkin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by which date?
PolymarketRules
According to me.
- A blog post, press release, etc which claims to have cured or have developed a treatment for, at least one form of cancer
Open markets
Corporate ActionsPOLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+1.0pt89%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,-0.5pt83%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2.8M
- 24h Vol
- $35.4K
POLYMARKETIsraeli Legislative Election Winner
- Yashar+3.5pt60.8%
- Likud-2.5pt39.2%
- Together-0.2pt0%
+3 more outcomes
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Mar 1, 2027+4.0pt98%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-2.0pt95%
- Before Jan 1, 2027-3.0pt93%
+9 more outcomes
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- $1.75–$2.0T+5.5pt23.8%
- $2.0–$2.25T+1.9pt23.8%
- $2.25–$2.5T-8.0pt16.8%
+7 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.25T+1.3pt100%
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
+10 more outcomes
KALSHIWill GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
- No92%
- Yes8%
- Total Vol
- $3.1M
- 24h Vol
- $13.9K
- Will Kraken's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- SB Energy IPO by which date?
- When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- IPOs before 2027?
- Will California authorize an alternative wage or other qualifying relief from goat-herder wage and overtime obligations before Oct 1, 2026?
- Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- Kimi (Moonshot AI) IPO by which date?
- When will OpenAI officially announce an IPO?
- Who will successfully take over Warner Brothers?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Anthropic announce progress on a cure for cancer before their IPO??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 89% as of September 10, 2026.
- When does Will Anthropic announce progress on a cure for cancer before their IPO? resolve?
- Will Anthropic announce progress on a cure for cancer before their IPO? is scheduled to resolve on December 30, 2026.
- How is Will Anthropic announce progress on a cure for cancer before their IPO? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: According to me.