Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2030?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2030??

Manifold Markets prices No at 94% as of October 27, 2026.

When does Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2030? resolve?

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2030? is scheduled to resolve on January 2, 2030.

How is Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2030? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This is an intentional duplicate of https://manifold.markets/MartinRandall/will-ai-wipe-out-humanity-before-th-d8733b2114a8 .

Use this market in code or an AI agent

Free JSON for this market, no API key needed:

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POLYMARKET

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

• Google+9.8pt96%
• Anthropic-5.7pt4%
• Alibaba+0.1pt0%

+18 more outcomes

Total Vol

$3.8M

24h Vol

$188.1K

POLYMARKET

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

• Anthropic+4.0pt56%
• Google-1.5pt35%
• OpenAI-0.1pt6%

+12 more outcomes

KALSHI

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

• Before Apr 1, 202796.5%
• Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt95%
• Before Feb 1, 2027+3.0pt94.5%

KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Claude+2.7pt59.5%
• Gemini-2.5pt30.1%
• ChatGPT+0.5pt

POLYMARKET

GPT Astra 6.1+ released by which date?

• December 31-7.0pt81%
• December 15-14.0pt72%
• November 3060%

+5 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T-2.0pt28.6%
• $2.0–$2.25T+4.5pt24.8%
• $1.5–$1.75T-1.9pt15.2%

+7 more outcomes

• OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
• Anthropic IPO by which date?
• What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
• Best AI in Oct 2026?
• Best AI this week
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by which date?
• Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
• Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
• Anthropic announces bankruptcy by which date?
• Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?