Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 89.4%
Forecasters
25
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 12 hours ago
StaleNov 1, 25, 2:40 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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KalshiRules
At EOY 2026 I will ask @Bayesian , @TimothyJohnson5c16 , @Joshua , @Ziddletwix , and @nikki whether they believe it has.
- If after a week any disagree this question will resolve NO.
- Otherwise, it will resolve YES.
- If any of the users is unreachable, they will not be taken into account for the resolution.