Will AI be useful, but not really change the world... by 2030 ?!

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Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will AI be useful, but not really change the world... by 2030 ?!?

Manifold Markets prices No at 70.4% as of October 27, 2026.

When does Will AI be useful, but not really change the world... by 2030 ?! resolve?

Will AI be useful, but not really change the world... by 2030 ?! is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2030.

How is Will AI be useful, but not really change the world... by 2030 ?! settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Despite all the hype... will AI not have much impact, either positive or negative by 2030?

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POLYMARKET

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

• Anthropic+3.0pt56%
• Google-2.0pt34%
• OpenAI+0.1pt6%

+12 more outcomes

Total Vol

$3.2M

24h Vol

$180.8K

POLYMARKET

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

• Google+8.2pt93.9%
• Anthropic-2.3pt6.1%
• Alibaba+0.1pt0%

+18 more outcomes

KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Claude+3.7pt59.5%
• Gemini-2.4pt30.1%
• ChatGPT+0.2pt

KALSHI

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

• Before Apr 1, 202796.5%
• Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt95%
• Before Feb 1, 2027+2.0pt94.5%

POLYMARKET

GPT Astra 6.1+ released by which date?

• December 31-5.5pt79%
• December 15-0.5pt75%
• November 3052%

+5 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO by which date?

• December 31,-1.0pt94%
• December 15,-2.0pt92%
• November 30,-1.5pt89%

+15 more outcomes

• Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
• OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
• What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
• Best AI in Oct 2026?
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by which date?
• Anthropic announces bankruptcy by which date?
• Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
• Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
• Best AI this week
• Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?