Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 65.4%
Forecasters
23
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Aug 31, 26, 11:07 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
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PolymarketRules
Define major as over 100b in assets
- Update 2026-09-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - A single staff PC getting hacked does not count as the bank being hacked.
- Update 2026-09-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - A hack is defined as a major cyberattack that causes greater than a few million dollars in losses.