What are the current odds for Will a human walk on Mars before 2032??

Manifold Markets prices No at 95.7% as of October 31, 2026.

When does Will a human walk on Mars before 2032? resolve?

Will a human walk on Mars before 2032? is scheduled to resolve on March 1, 2032.

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves as YES if a human ventures onto the surface of Mars before January 1st 2032.

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibrated

Current community forecast

No 95.7%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 45 minutes ago

Lagging

Feb 3, 24, 12:27 AM UTCMar 1, 32, 10:59 PM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Rules

Resolves as YES if a human ventures onto the surface of Mars before January 1st 2032.