Will a human preserved through cryonics be successfully restored by end of 2050?
One-OffScienceHealth & Medicine
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
No 79%
Forecasters
64
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 16 hours ago
StaleFeb 13, 23, 6:22 PM UTCJan 1, 51, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will a human preserved through cryonics be successfully restored by end of 2075?
Manifold MarketsWill some combination of the major cryonics companies accidentally thaw at least two patients before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill cryonics or brain-emulation research get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhich countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?
KalshiWhich countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?
PolymarketHow many human screwworm cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
KalshiRules
The restored subject must have previously been declared legally dead.
- For a positive resolution, the restored subject must be awake, be able to communicate, and live for at least one month.
- For purposes of this market, successfully uploading the subject's mind digitally such that the subject is commonly believed to be conscious and retains ~50% or more of the memory function that they would have had at death is sufficient for a positive resolution.
- Companion Markets: