Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastOther 47.3%-9.7ptLeader of 25 outcomes
Forecasters
116
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+40.7 pts
Market data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Sep 19, 26, 11:42 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
0.5%
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
[image]Resolves upon announcement by Trump or his Admin, resolution does not require they actually begin work on the job.
- If Trump announces multiple individuals to co-lead the role, the market will resolve proportionally among those named.
- If no official announcement is made by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "the named outcome".
- The primary sources of truth will be official White House statements, the named outcome's verified Truth Social posts, or consensus reporting from major news outlets (e.g., Associated Press, Reuters, Bloomberg, The New York Times).
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Who will Trump announce as his new AI Czar??
- Manifold Markets prices Other at 47% as of September 21, 2026.
- When does Who will Trump announce as his new AI Czar? resolve?
- Who will Trump announce as his new AI Czar? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is Who will Trump announce as his new AI Czar? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: [image]Resolves upon announcement by Trump or his Admin, resolution does not require they actually begin work on the job.