Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastP vs NP 46%+6.8ptLeader of 8 outcomes
Forecasters
17
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
-0.5 pts
Market data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Aug 14, 25, 11:20 PM UTCAug 14, 35, 11:18 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Millennium_Prize_Problems
- The Clay Mathematics Institute officially designated the title Millennium Problem for the seven unsolved mathematical problems, the the named outcome, the named outcome, Navier–Stokes existence and smoothness, P versus NP problem, the named outcome, Yang–Mills existence and mass gap, and the Poincaré conjecture at the Millennium Meeting held on May 24, 2000.
- Thus, on the official website of the Clay Mathematics Institute, these seven problems are officially called the Millennium Problems.
- The the named outcome was solved now leaving six remaining problems
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Which of the seven millennium problems will be solved last??
- Manifold Markets prices P vs NP at 46% as of September 21, 2026.
- When does Which of the seven millennium problems will be solved last? resolve?
- Which of the seven millennium problems will be solved last? is scheduled to resolve on August 14, 2035.
- How is Which of the seven millennium problems will be solved last? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Millennium_Prize_Problems