Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast3 years: Someone will build a new browser using mainly AI-assisted coding and it won’t even be a surprise 100%Leader of 7 outcomes
Forecasters
9
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 12 hours ago
StaleJan 14, 26, 2:02 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRules
From https://simonwillison.net/2026/Jan/8/llm-predictions-for-2026/
- If Simon publishes evaluations of his own predictions, I'll resolve accordingly.
- If no evaluations are forthcoming, I may resolve based on my own judgement.