This market resolved: Google (98.3%)
Resolved: Oct 2, 2026, 1:08 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 2, 2026, 12:34 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Anthropic0.4%
OpenAI0.4%
Google98.3%
SpaceXAI0.4%
Others0.4%
Won
Lost
Lost
Lost
Lost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of November?
PolymarketThird-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?
PolymarketSecond-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?
PolymarketThird-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?
PolymarketWhich Companies will top Chatbot Arena Leaderboard in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich Companies will top Chatbot Arena Leaderboard in 2027?
Manifold MarketsRules
Resolution criteria
- Source of Truth: This market will resolve based on the official "Text Arena - Overall" leaderboard standings of the LMSYS Chatbot Arena, hosted at Hugging Face Chatbot Arena or Arena AI.
- Timing: The standings will be evaluated based on the leaderboard state on October 1, 2026.
- If the live site is down, the most recent update or snapshot around that date will be used.
- Winning Lab: Resolution is determined by the organization/developer of the model ranked #1 overall.
- Ties: In the event of an exact tie in Elo score at the #1 spot, the model listed first (occupying the top row) in the default leaderboard view will determine the winning lab.
