Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastClaude Code 74.2%+4.1ptLeader of 11 outcomes
Forecasters
26
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+0.5 pts
Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleJun 25, 25, 10:16 PMDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
0.4%
Rules
Resolves to whichever coding agent i consider to be the most popular by January 1, 2027, informed by MAU, subscriber counts, amount of tokens processed, etc. I might resolve through a poll if i feel like it is too close.
- To be considered a CLI coding agent: - It has to run on the terminal - It has to have the ability to edit, create and delete files by prompting it using natural language
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Which CLI coding agent will be the most popular EOY2026? [add answers]?
- Manifold Markets prices Claude Code at 74% as of August 21, 2026.
- When does Which CLI coding agent will be the most popular EOY2026? [add answers] resolve?
- Which CLI coding agent will be the most popular EOY2026? [add answers] is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is Which CLI coding agent will be the most popular EOY2026? [add answers] settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves to whichever coding agent i consider to be the most popular by January 1, 2027, informed by MAU, subscriber counts, amount of tokens processed, etc. I might resolve through a poll if i feel like it is too close.
