Data quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 25, 2026, 7:00 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecast
Any code editor + CLI tools (such as Claude Code, OpenAI Codex) 52.5%Leader of 9 outcomes
Any code editor + CLI tools (such as Claude Code, OpenAI Codex) 52.5%Forecasters
29
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 17 hours ago
StaleMay 6, 25, 5:36 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
This market will resolve to whichever AI code editor is the most popular choice by December 31, 2026.
- To decide which one is the most popular, i will be looking at a few different factors, including - Monthly active users - Tokens generated - Brand awareness / status / etc. - Revenue sourced from either official sources or trusted news organizations.
- If the winner is unclear, the market may be resolved through a Poll.
- (Hopefully we have a clear winner by then)
- "Any code editor + CLI tools (such as Claude Code, OpenAI Codex)" will resolve YES if the default / most common way for developers to work with LLMs becomes using an agent from the terminal.
- "Visual Studio Code (w/ 3rd party agent)" will resolve YES if the most popular agent comes in the form of a VS Code extension or similar.
