Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastEpoch Capabilities Index (ECI) 55.9%+7.8ptLeader of 6 outcomes
Forecasters
7
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+7.8 pts
Market data
Updated 11 minutes ago
Apr 9, 26, 5:22 AMDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
Rules
Resolves to the AI benchmark market on MNX mainnet that generates the highest USD-equivalent volume in aggregate in 2026 (or N/A if there is no trading for some reason by the end of the year).
- Some of the benchmarks like ARC AGI may have several associated versions/markets (eg ARC-AGI-2, ARC-AGI-3).
- I will use the single market that has the highest associated volume across the category (rather than the sum of all markets within the category).
- Feel free to suggest other benchmarks in the comments.
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Which benchmarket will have the highest volume on MNX in 2026??
- Manifold Markets prices Epoch Capabilities Index (ECI) at 56% as of September 4, 2026.
- When does Which benchmarket will have the highest volume on MNX in 2026? resolve?
- Which benchmarket will have the highest volume on MNX in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is Which benchmarket will have the highest volume on MNX in 2026? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves to the AI benchmark market on MNX mainnet that generates the highest USD-equivalent volume in aggregate in 2026 (or N/A if there is no trading for some reason by the end of the year).
