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  1. Prediction Markets
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  3. Which benchmarket will have the highest volume on MNX in 2026?
Manifold Markets

Which benchmarket will have the highest volume on MNX in 2026?

AI6mo
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsNo KYC
Current community forecast
Manifold Markets
ARC-AGI 13%
Leader of 6 outcomes
Forecasters

6

Question type

multiple choice

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 2 minutes ago

Apr 9, 26, 5:22 AMDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

ARC-AGI13%

Rules

Resolves to the AI benchmark market on MNX mainnet that generates the highest USD-equivalent volume in aggregate in 2026 (or N/A if there is no trading for some reason by the end of the year).

Manifold Markets
  • Some of the benchmarks like ARC AGI may have several associated versions/markets (eg ARC-AGI-2, ARC-AGI-3).
  • I will use the single market that has the highest associated volume across the category (rather than the sum of all markets within the category).
  • Feel free to suggest other benchmarks in the comments.

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Rules

Resolves to the AI benchmark market on MNX mainnet that generates the highest USD-equivalent volume in aggregate in 2026 (or N/A if there is no trading for some reason by the end of the year).

Manifold Markets
  • Some of the benchmarks like ARC AGI may have several associated versions/markets (eg ARC-AGI-2, ARC-AGI-3).
  • I will use the single market that has the highest associated volume across the category (rather than the sum of all markets within the category).
  • Feel free to suggest other benchmarks in the comments.