Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastOther 65%Leader of 7 outcomes
Forecasters
14
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+4.8 pts
Market data
Updated 11 hours ago
StaleAug 3, 23, 2:36 PM UTCJan 1, 99, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
Tuberculosis is a curable and preventable infectious disease.
- And yet, over 10 million people fall ill with it every year, and over 1.5 million people die.
- Resolves to the year in which the WHO reports less than 1 million people dying from TB or the year there are less then 1 million humans alive.
- I will add a new year as answers as time goes by.
- So if you predict this will happen later than 2029 you can bet on 'Other.'
- Relvant links:
