The Ministry for the Future Predictions: Will a Heatwave Kill More Than a Million around the world by 2040?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for The Ministry for the Future Predictions: Will a Heatwave Kill More Than a Million around the world by 2040??

Manifold Markets prices No at 70.1% as of October 19, 2026.

When does The Ministry for the Future Predictions: Will a Heatwave Kill More Than a Million around the world by 2040? resolve?

The Ministry for the Future Predictions: Will a Heatwave Kill More Than a Million around the world by 2040? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2040.

How is The Ministry for the Future Predictions: Will a Heatwave Kill More Than a Million around the world by 2040? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Based on the horrifying open for The Ministry for the Future by Kim Stanley Robinson.

Use this market in code or an AI agent

Free JSON for this market, no API key needed:

AI agents: call pm_data_event on the CoinRithm MCP server:

KALSHI

Where will it rain on Oct 19, 2026?

• Albuquerque-51.0pt0.5%
• Phoenix-10.0pt0.5%
• Las Vegas0.5%

+32 more outcomes

Total Vol

$851.6K

24h Vol

$720.6K

KALSHI

Where will it rain on Oct 20, 2026?

• West Palm Beach99.5%
• Miami61.5%
• Albuquerque28.5%

KALSHI

Highest temperature in Denver on Oct 19, 2026?

• 71° to 72°+73.0pt96.5%
• 69° to 70°-55.0pt1%
• 67° to 68°-16.0pt

KALSHI

Highest temperature in Phoenix on Oct 19, 2026?

• 90° to 91°+71.0pt99.5%
• 88° to 89°-54.0pt0.5%
• 86° to 87°-16.0pt

POLYMARKET

Highest temperature in Tokyo on October 20?

• 28°C+95.3pt96.1%
• 23°C or below-3.3pt1%
• 25°C-20.5pt1%

+8 more outcomes

KALSHI

Highest temperature in San Francisco on Oct 19, 2026?

• 65° to 66°+62.0pt99.5%
• 63° to 64°-43.0pt0.5%
• 61° to 62°-14.0pt

• Highest temperature in Hong Kong on October 20?
• Highest temperature in Shanghai on October 20?
• Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Oct 19, 2026?
• Highest temperature in Wellington on October 20?
• Lowest temperature in Denver on Oct 19, 2026?
• Highest temperature in London on October 20?
• Highest temperature in Istanbul on October 20?
• Highest temperature in Beijing on October 20?
• Highest temperature in Shenzhen on October 20?
• Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on October 20?