Data as of Oct 22, 2026, 9:35 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Is the Kakeya conjecture true?
Will Goldbach's conjecture be proved before 2040?
Will Goldbach's conjecture be proved before 2030?
Will Goldbach's conjecture be proved before 2100?
Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
Rules
A Kakeya set (also called a Besicovitch set) is a set in Euclidean space that contains a unit line segment pointing in every direction.
Free JSON for this market, no API key needed:
https://api.coinrithm.com/api/prediction-markets/events/manifold/when-will-the-kakeya-conjecture-beAI agents: call pm_data_event on the CoinRithm MCP server:
https://mcp.coinrithm.com/mcp+4 more outcomes
+5 more outcomes
+3 more outcomes
+1 more outcomes
+3 more outcomes