Current community forecast
>= 2032 39.5%Leader of 7 outcomes
>= 2032 39.5%Forecasters
37
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
-0.3 pts
Market data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleJan 9, 24, 3:23 AM UTCJan 1, 33, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will SpaceX land on the MOON by Dec 31st 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill SpaceX land on the MOON before Dec 31st 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill SpaceX land on the *MOON* by Dec 31st 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill SpaceX land on the *MOON* by Dec 31st 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill SpaceX land anything successfully on Mars before 2030?
KalshiWill Blue Origin land on the moon before SpaceX?
KalshiRules
Crewed landing.
- Update 2025-11-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If SpaceX does not land on the moon by 2032, this market will resolve to ">= 2032" (even if SpaceX never lands on the moon).
