Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastChatGPT (or other OpenAI) 77%Leader of 6 outcomes
Forecasters
20
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 8 hours ago
StaleJan 18, 26, 12:58 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiRules
According to the SimilarWeb ranking, which chatbot site will have the most usage as of 1 January 2027? Current ranking: https://www.similarweb.com/top-websites/ai-chatbots-and-tools/
Open markets
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+3 more outcomes
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- November 30,-1.0pt84%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
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+4 more outcomes
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- Claude+4.4pt62.4%
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+5 more outcomes
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+2 more outcomes
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- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for What will be the most-used AI chatbot by end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets prices ChatGPT (or other OpenAI) at 77% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does What will be the most-used AI chatbot by end of 2026? resolve?
- What will be the most-used AI chatbot by end of 2026? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is What will be the most-used AI chatbot by end of 2026? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: According to the SimilarWeb ranking, which chatbot site will have the most usage as of 1 January 2027? Current ranking: https://www.similarweb.com/top-websites/ai-chatbots-and-tools/