What is the outcome of a traditional game of chess with optimal play?
Chess
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
Draw 90.1%Leader of 3 outcomes
Draw 90.1%Forecasters
84
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 15 hours ago
StaleDec 18, 22, 6:17 AM UTCJan 1, 99, 8:00 AM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRules
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Solved_game
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Solving_chess
- (No 50-move rule, repetition is a draw.)
- This market resolves once chess is solved.
- To bet on how long that will take, see here.