Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: $3.900 or higher (99%)
Resolved: Aug 5, 2026, 5:17 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current community forecast$3.900 or higher 99%Leader of 3 outcomes
Forecasters
30
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+1.0 pts
Market data
Updated 13 days ago
StaleJun 28, 26, 7:09 AMAug 1, 26, 11:59 PM
Probability Timeline
$3.800 or below0.3%
Between $3.801 and $3.8990.7%
$3.900 or higher99%
99%
0.7%
0.2%
Rules
Resolves to price when it is updated for 8/1/2026
- https://gasprices.aaa.com/ Regular Gas Average Price
- [link preview]
Open markets
US Politics
POLYMARKETNATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- December 31-14.0pt25%
- October 31-21.0pt13%
- August 31-18.6pt5%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $5.8M
- 24h Vol
- $1.3M
KALSHISouth Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner?
- Darline Graham-8.0pt64.2%
- Ralph Norman+7.0pt27.5%
- Pamela Evette0.9%
+8 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $13.1M
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance20%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt12%
+125 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $690.6M
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party-1.0pt85.7%
- Republican Party-1.0pt14.3%
- Total Vol
- $23.7M
- 24h Vol
- $585.9K
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.1pt18%
- Gavin Newsom-0.2pt15%
- Jon Ossoff+0.5pt14%
+125 more outcomes
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-1.8pt66%
- October 31-8.5pt41%
- September 30-3.0pt26%
+17 more outcomes
- Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Los Angeles Mayor winner?
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
- North Carolina Senate winner?
- US-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- What will Trump say during his rally with Darline Graham?
- What will JD Vance say during his remarks in Ohio?
- Trump out as President by August 31?
- Florida Republican Governor primary: James Fishback vote percent
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for US Gas Price on August 1??
- Manifold Markets prices $3.900 or higher at 99% as of August 7, 2026.
- When does US Gas Price on August 1? resolve?
- US Gas Price on August 1? is scheduled to resolve on August 1, 2026.
- How is US Gas Price on August 1? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves to price when it is updated for 8/1/2026