Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.
Awaiting verified resolution
CoinRithm is waiting for provider-confirmed settlement before treating this market as resolved.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 2:41 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Trends
Awaiting result
Awaiting result
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Steph Curry get traded before 2027?
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Manifold MarketsRules
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if Stephen Curry is officially traded from the Golden State Warriors to another NBA franchise before the tip-off of the first official game of the 2026–27 NBA regular season (scheduled to begin on October 20, 2026).
- Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.
- Key Rules & Edge Cases:
- Source of Truth: The trade must be officially confirmed by the NBA, announced by the franchises involved, or reported by highly reliable sports news outlets (such as ESPN or NBA.com) and leading league insiders (such as Shams Charania) prior to the start of the season's first game.
- Timing: The trade transaction must be officially completed and registered with the NBA office before the scheduled tip-off of the opening game of the regular season.