Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 95%
Forecasters
17
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 12 hours ago
StaleJul 27, 26, 1:23 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if Stephen (Steph) Curry is officially traded from the Golden State Warriors to another NBA franchise on or before December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC.
- This market will resolve to NO if he is not traded by this deadline, which includes scenarios where he remains with the Golden State Warriors, retires, is waived, or has his contract bought out.
- Resolution Sources:
- The trade must be officially finalized by the NBA and reported by the Golden State Warriors, NBA.com's Official Transactions page, or major sports news outlets (such as ESPN or The Athletic) on or before the deadline.
- Verbally agreed-upon trades or rumors that are not formally finalized by the league office before January 1, 2027, will not qualify for a YES resolution.