Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 60.9%
Forecasters
22
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 7 hours ago
StaleApr 17, 25, 10:49 AM UTCJan 1, 27, 5:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
This market predicts whether a fatal domestic dispute, where the primary cause is the use of OpenAI's memory-using chatbot, will be reported by December 31, 2026.
- A spousal or relationship conflict, one between cohabiting siblings, or between legal guardian or estranged parent and child would qualify.
- "primarily involving OpenAI's memory-using chatbot" The greatest single cause of the dispute involving frequency of use, permissions, or the deletion of the offender's stored memory by the victim would all cause this market to resolve as YES.
- OpenAI has enhanced ChatGPT with persistent memory capabilities, allowing it to remember user preferences and context across sessions.
- While this feature aims to improve user experience, it raises concerns about extended agency and parasociality.
- The Sewell Setzer III incident would NOT cause this market to resolve YES, as this would not be considered a dispute.