Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast0-10 96%Leader of 5 outcomes
Forecasters
12
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 16 hours ago
StaleJul 9, 25, 8:21 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Total cases of measles reported in US during 2026
Manifold MarketsWhat will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term?
KalshiMeasles cases in 2026?
KalshiMeasles cases in U.S. in 2026?
PolymarketWill the CDC report twice as many measles cases in 2026 as 2025?
Manifold MarketsWill the US lose measles elimination status in 2026?
KalshiRules
This market predicts the total number of measles-related deaths in the United States for the year 2026, as reported by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC).
- The CDC provides annual statistics on measles cases and deaths, which will serve as the resolution source for this market.
- CDC Measles Data
- If the CDC stops providing data, or the data is deemed unreliable, then this market will resolve to N/A.
Open markets
Health & MedicinePOLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No-0.1pt97%
- Yes+0.1pt3%
- Total Vol
- $18.1M
- 24h Vol
- $22.1K
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No96%
- Yes+1.9pt4%
- Total Vol
- $1.9M
- 24h Vol
- $6K
KALSHIWhen will Intellia Therapeutics submit a BLA for Lonvo-z?
- before October+64.0pt98%
- before 2027+22.0pt98%
- before December+30.0pt98%
+3 more outcomes
POLYMARKETFDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date?
- December 31,+6.0pt65%
- September+2.0pt41%
- June28%
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETNew pandemic in 2026?
- No+0.5pt94%
- Yes-0.5pt6%
- Total Vol
- $1.1M
- 24h Vol
- $1.8K
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 300099%
- Above 4000-1.0pt96%
- Above 6000+1.0pt60%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1M
- 24h Vol
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?
- Will 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell?
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?
- Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
- FDA decision: Bepirovirsen by GlaxoSmithKline (in 2026)
- When will Heidi Overton be confirmed as Commissioner of the FDA?
- What will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term?
- When will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1?
- FDA decision: Saroglitazar by Zydus Therapeutics (in 2026)
- Will the FDA approve CagriSema?
- When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
- FDA decision: Ifinatamab Deruxtecan by Daiichi Sankyo (in 2026)
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Number of measles deaths reported by CDC in the US in 2026??
- Manifold Markets prices 0-10 at 96% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Number of measles deaths reported by CDC in the US in 2026? resolve?
- Number of measles deaths reported by CDC in the US in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is Number of measles deaths reported by CDC in the US in 2026? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This market predicts the total number of measles-related deaths in the United States for the year 2026, as reported by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC).