Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 74.7%
Forecasters
5
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 12 hours ago
StaleSep 29, 23, 9:00 PM UTCDec 31, 28, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
No new countries join the European Union (EU) in 2026
Manifold MarketsNo new countries join the European Union (EU) in 2020s (2020-2029)
Manifold MarketsWill the European Union (EU) block X (Twitter) in 2026?
FutuurWhich country will be the next to join the European Union?
Manifold MarketsWhich countries will join the Mecca Agreement by December 31?
PolymarketWhich countries will join NATO as members in 2026?
FutuurRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
Open markets
EuropePOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt73.3%
- New People (NL)-2.9pt22.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.3pt3%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $26M
- 24h Vol
- $728.7K
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.9pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 more outcomes
POLYMARKETFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- No+1.0pt84.2%
- Yes-1.0pt15.8%
- Total Vol
- $967.7K
- 24h Vol
- $113.3K
POLYMARKETMecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner
- AfD+1.5pt79.2%
- SPD-1.5pt20.8%
- CDU0%
+5 more outcomes
POLYMARKETNext Prime Minister of Sweden
- Magdalena Andersson76.7%
- Ulf Kristersson+1.0pt21.4%
- Jimmie Åkesson-0.8pt1%
+7 more outcomes
POLYMARKETECB Interest Rates: September 2026
- 25 bps increase-0.1pt100%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
- 25 bps decrease0%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- Berlin State Election Winner
- NATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
- Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
- Sweden Parliamentary Election Winner
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: S Vote Share?
- AfD wins the most seats in how many September state elections?
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: MP Vote Share?
- Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for No new countries join the European Union (EU) in 2028?
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 75% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does No new countries join the European Union (EU) in 2028 resolve?
- No new countries join the European Union (EU) in 2028 is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2028.