Mandarin Chinese translation of "If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies" appears when?
One-OffAIEntertainment1yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast2027-01-01 to 2027-06-30 72.1%Leader of 6 outcomes
Forecasters
3
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+50.1 pts
Market data
Updated 12 hours ago
StaleOct 4, 25, 3:22 PM UTCJan 1, 28, 4:20 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies (shortened as IABIED) is a book by Eliezer Yudkowsky and Nate Soares, released in September 2025.
- This markets refers to official publication in Mandarin Chinese language by a mainstream book publisher, not self publication or community created translations released on the Internet.
- E-book or audio book versions count as well.
- Zvi house rules apply.
Open markets
AI
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KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-1.4pt69.6%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt13.7%
- Gemini-1.7pt7.8%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $11.8M
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic-0.3pt99%
- OpenAI+0.6pt1%
- Meta0%
+18 more outcomes
POLYMARKETAnthropic lab leak by which date?
- June 30, 2027-4.0pt7%
- December 31, 2026+0.2pt4%
- Total Vol
- $97.5K
- 24h Vol
- $74.8K
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Mandarin Chinese translation of "If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies" appears when??
- Manifold Markets prices 2027-01-01 to 2027-06-30 at 72.1% as of September 22, 2026.
- When does Mandarin Chinese translation of "If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies" appears when? resolve?
- Mandarin Chinese translation of "If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies" appears when? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2028.
- How is Mandarin Chinese translation of "If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies" appears when? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies (shortened as IABIED) is a book by Eliezer Yudkowsky and Nate Soares, released in September 2025.