In year 2030, what will the general US population think of the effectiveness and necessity of the measures the government took against the COVID-19 in years 2020-2022?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for In year 2030, what will the general US population think of the effectiveness and necessity of the measures the government took against the COVID-19 in years 2020-2022??

Manifold Markets prices Partisan split; Ds think measures were effective & necessary, Rs think it was a big government conspiracy. Overall 50% think policies went well, 30% too far, 10% not far enough. at 15.8% as of October 20, 2026.

When does In year 2030, what will the general US population think of the effectiveness and necessity of the measures the government took against the COVID-19 in years 2020-2022? resolve?

In year 2030, what will the general US population think of the effectiveness and necessity of the measures the government took against the COVID-19 in years 2020-2022? is scheduled to resolve on January 31, 2030.

How is In year 2030, what will the general US population think of the effectiveness and necessity of the measures the government took against the COVID-19 in years 2020-2022? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Will split proportionally according to my subjective understanding, hopefully based on then-recentish poll on ~this subject

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POLYMARKET

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

• No-0.8pt98%
• Yes+0.8pt2%

Total Vol

$18.7M

24h Vol

$59.6K

POLYMARKET

Marseille public gathering ban effectively lifted by which date?

• October 31+49.5pt100%
• October 21+47.0pt95%
• October 24+46.2pt95%

KALSHI

Will a pneumonic plague case be reported in the U.S. this year?

• Before January 1, 2027+1.0pt7.5%
• Before November 1, 2026-3.0pt1.5%
• Before December 1, 2026-5.0pt

POLYMARKET

FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date?

• December 31,-18.0pt49%
• September14%
• June12%

Total Vol

$181.7K

POLYMARKET

Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?

• No-2.1pt94%
• Yes+2.1pt6%

Total Vol

$122K

24h Vol

$6K

POLYMARKET

Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?

• Nigeria+47.0pt95%
• South Sudan34%
• Republic of the Congo25%

+10 more outcomes

Total Vol

• Measles cases in 2026?
• How many West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases will be reported among New York City residents in 2026?
• Ebola pandemic in 2026?
• Another pneumonic plague case in Russia by which date?
• Pandemic in 2026?
• New pandemic in 2026?
• Will the FDA approve MDMA for PTSD?
• Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
• Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by which date?
• Plague case in US by December 31?
• Will the FDA approve any psychedelic substance for medical use this year?