Current community forecast
2027 27.6%Leader of 7 outcomes
Forecasters
26
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 10 hours ago
StaleAug 12, 24, 4:30 PM UTCFeb 1, 31, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiRules
The release must have large coverage; I should be able to call the robotaxi anywhere I can call an Uber.
- A fully self-driving car which is not marketed as a taxi service will not count.
Open markets
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
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+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
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- 24h Vol
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POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+10.0pt60%
- 2027+2.0pt31.4%
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- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.7pt61.4%
- ChatGPT-2.7pt22.8%
- Grok-0.1pt7.9%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $10.6M
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-4.0pt11.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $377.7K
- 24h Vol
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-2.5pt66%
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- 1500+-3.5pt23%
+2 more outcomes
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- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
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- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for In which year will Tesla release a robotaxi??
- Manifold Markets prices 2027 at 28% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does In which year will Tesla release a robotaxi? resolve?
- In which year will Tesla release a robotaxi? is scheduled to resolve on February 1, 2031.
- How is In which year will Tesla release a robotaxi? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: The release must have large coverage; I should be able to call the robotaxi anywhere I can call an Uber.