Will Tesla release a two door Model Y car for $30,000 or less before 2027?
1.0 pts (24h)TechOne-Off3mo
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 90%
Market quality
57 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$14.9
Liquidity
$11.8K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
6.0% / 10.0%
Spread
4.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Jun 24, 25, 6:45 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Tesla release Optimus by which date?
PolymarketWill Elon Musk's Tesla release a super long-term battery or breakthrough energy technology that lasts months or years wi
Manifold MarketsIn what year will Tesla first release an electric van or minivan?
Manifold MarketsIn which year will Tesla release a robotaxi?
Manifold MarketsBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
PolymarketRules
If Tesla releases a two door Model Y to the public before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Tesla
Open markets
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,750 or above99%
- $76,500 or above99%
- $76,250 or above99%
+77 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.5M
- 24h Vol
- $1.5M
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,500 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 180-199+10.0pt31.7%
- 200-219+8.0pt23.1%
- 160-179-4.0pt19.2%
+23 more outcomes
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 88° to 89°+7.0pt33.6%
- 90° or above+18.0pt32.7%
- 86° to 87°-13.0pt23.1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- Houston+69.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+6.0pt99%
- Los Angeles+71.0pt75%
+19 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $229.5K
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 65-89+29.0pt50%
- 40-64+0.5pt46.1%
- 90-114-2.9pt3.9%
+7 more outcomes
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- Nasdaq-100 price on Sep 8, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Highest temperature in Miami on Sep 8, 2026?
- Which company has the best AI model end of September?
- Best AI at the end of 2026?
- ETH price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- When will Apple Inc. release the iPhone 18 Pro?
- Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by which date?
- Highest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- Next James Bond actor?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Tesla release a two door Model Y car for $30,000 or less before 2027??
- Kalshi prices No at 90% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Tesla release a two door Model Y car for $30,000 or less before 2027? resolve?
- Will Tesla release a two door Model Y car for $30,000 or less before 2027? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Will Tesla release a two door Model Y car for $30,000 or less before 2027? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If Tesla releases a two door Model Y to the public before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.