Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast2027-2028 44.2%Leader of 8 outcomes
Forecasters
15
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 11 hours ago
StaleJul 4, 25, 6:41 PM UTCJan 1, 41, 5:00 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
PhysBench is a 10 k‑item, video‑image‑text benchmark that tests whether a vision–language model (VLM) can reason about the real‑world physics that governs everyday objects and scenes.
- It covers four domains—object Properties, object Relationships, Scene understanding and future‑state Dynamics—split into 19 fine‑grained tasks such as mass comparison, collision outcomes and fluid behaviour.
- Unlike most other benchmarks, humans still outperform AI on the PhysBench.
- State of play:
- • Human reference accuracy: 95.87 %
- • 2024 AI accuracy (O1): 55.11 %
