If Artificial General Intelligence has an okay outcome, what will be the reason?
0.1 pts (24h)One-OffAI
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
M. "We'll make the AI do our AI alignment homework" just works as a plan. (Eg the helping AI doesn't need to be smart enough to be deadly; the alignment proposals that most impress human judges are honest and truthful and successful.) 17.2%-0.1ptLeader of 18 outcomes
Forecasters
15
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+3.4 pts
Market data
Updated 8 hours ago
StaleJun 22, 23, 6:46 PM UTCJan 1, 01, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
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Duplicate of https://manifold.markets/EliezerYudkowsky/if-artificial-general-intelligence except you're allowed to short options
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