Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 59.9%
Forecasters
19
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingTrends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
If AI wipes out humanity, which organization(s) will be primarily responsible for the development of this AI?
Manifold MarketsIf an AI wipes out humanity on Earth, what will be true of this AI?
Manifold MarketsIf AI wipes out humanity will everyone on Earth fall over dead in the same day?
Manifold MarketsIf AI wipes out humanity, what will it make of the universe?
Manifold MarketsAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiRules
If at least one of the "will AI wipe out humanity" markets is resolved to YES by AI after AI wipes out humanity, this resolves yes.