Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastCourt grants summary judgment in favor of Destiny 96.4%Leader of 7 outcomes
Forecasters
32
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 4 hours ago
StaleJun 30, 26, 3:38 PM UTCDec 31, 28, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
0.5%
0.4%
0.3%
0.3%
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MyriadRules
Will resolve to the closest conclusion based on my judgement.
- Resolution criteria
- This market resolves based on the final trial court disposition of Jane Doe v.
- Steven Bonnell II, Case No. 1:25-cv-20757-JB, in the U.S. District Court for the Southern District of Florida.
- The docket and official court filings can be tracked via CourtListener.
- The respective outcomes are defined as follows:
Open markets
Crime & Justice
POLYMARKETTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
- No+17.0pt65%
- Yes-17.0pt35%
- Total Vol
- $404K
- 24h Vol
- $15.4K
POLYMARKETTrump out as President before 2027?
- No94.1%
- Yes5.9%
- Total Vol
- $11.4M
- 24h Vol
- $7.9K
POLYMARKETLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
- 2027-2.0pt21%
- 20265%
- Total Vol
- $578.5K
- 24h Vol
- $6.6K
POLYMARKETAndrew Tate released from custody by which date?
- December 31-6.0pt13%
- July 31-0.1pt0%
- August 31-0.6pt0%
POLYMARKETMaduro Prison Time?
- No prison time+0.5pt42.2%
- 60++1.5pt38.2%
- 20–40-0.9pt8.8%
+2 more outcomes
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 31+1.5pt28%
- October 31-0.5pt12%
- September 30-0.5pt7%
+3 more outcomes
- Who will be arrested in 2026?
- Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
- What will Brett Kavanaugh say during his Notre Dame Lecture?
- Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?
- Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
- Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
- James Comey charges dropped by December 31?
- Tom Lee charged by December 31?
- Anthony Fauci charged by December 31?
- Will Yale settle with DOJ over Law School admissions?
- Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by which date?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for How will Pxie's lawsuit against Destiny end??
- Manifold Markets prices Court grants summary judgment in favor of Destiny at 96% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does How will Pxie's lawsuit against Destiny end? resolve?
- How will Pxie's lawsuit against Destiny end? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2028.
- How is How will Pxie's lawsuit against Destiny end? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Will resolve to the closest conclusion based on my judgement.