How many people will be permanently residing in the "libertarian city" Prospera in Honduras by the end of 2029?
One-OffLatin AmericaSociety & Culture3yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecast100+ 78.5%Leader of 3 outcomes
Forecasters
14
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 13 hours ago
StaleAug 8, 23, 10:09 PM UTCJan 1, 30, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRules
Resolved as per the best sources I can find on the matter.
- Permanently residing is to be interpreted as "living on location at least 183 days per year", not just being a resident.
- More reading: https://www.reddit.com/r/Prospera/wiki/index/
- Possible clarification from creator (AI generated): If Prospera's charter is revoked, the market will resolve to 0 regardless of how many people live in the former Prospera location.
