Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast1 86.7%Leader of 4 outcomes
Forecasters
52
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 15 hours ago
StaleJan 16, 26, 4:26 AM UTCJan 20, 29, 12:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
In his physical possession or ownership, regardless of how he got them.
- Update 2026-01-16 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): This market is about the physical Nobel Prize medal(s) in Trump's possession or ownership, not the prize designation itself.
- The medal can be transferred or change hands regardless of who originally won the Nobel Prize.
