Google model beats Anthropic on LMArena by EOY26

AIOne-OffTech

Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

This market resolved: Yes (89.4%)

Resolved: Oct 1, 2026, 11:01 AM

Provider-verified resolution

CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.

Data quality warningStale data

Data as of Oct 1, 2026, 6:05 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4

Current community forecast

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 22 days ago

Stale

Jun 29, 26, 11:37 AM UTCOct 1, 26, 11:01 AM UTC

Trends

Yes

Won

Lost

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Rules

A Google model beats Anthropic best model on LMArena (text, overall, style control on) at some point before 1st Jan 2027 Pacific Time.

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Google model beats Anthropic on LMArena by EOY26

Google model beats Anthropic on LMArena by EOY26

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Anthropic IPO by which date?

Best AI at the end of 2026?

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on?

Frequently asked questions

Use this market in code or an AI agent

Open markets

Anthropic IPO by which date?

Best AI at the end of 2026?

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on?