Gemini 3 (Google) release (No Double Speak Version)

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Gemini 3 (Google) release (No Double Speak Version)?

Manifold Markets prices Before 2025-12-01 at 83% as of October 25, 2026.

When does Gemini 3 (Google) release (No Double Speak Version) resolve?

Gemini 3 (Google) release (No Double Speak Version) is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.

How is Gemini 3 (Google) release (No Double Speak Version) settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: "Gemini 3" refers to a model recognized as the successor of Gemini 2 in a similar way to how Gemini 2 was the successor to Gemini 1, so Gemini 3.0 pro would count, but Gemini 2.X would not.

Use this market in code or an AI agent

Free JSON for this market, no API key needed:

AI agents: call pm_data_event on the CoinRithm MCP server:

KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Claude+2.5pt53.1%
• Gemini-4.0pt34.8%
• ChatGPT-0.4pt7.6%

+5 more outcomes

Total Vol

$15.4M

24h Vol

$82.2K

POLYMARKET

OpenAI announces bankruptcy by which date?

• 2029+1.0pt20%
• 2028+1.0pt16%
• 2027+1.0pt8%

KALSHI

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

• Before Apr 1, 2027+2.0pt92.5%
• Before Mar 1, 202791.5%
• Before Feb 1, 202788.5%

KALSHI

OpenRouter AI token usage in October

• Above 675T tokens88.5%
• Above 600T tokens50%
• Above 450T tokens99.5%

POLYMARKET

OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?

• 2027-4.0pt56%
• 2026-1.5pt14%

+1 more outcomes

Total Vol

$1M

24h Vol

$46.7K

POLYMARKET

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

• Google+0.8pt90.9%
• Anthropic-2.0pt8.1%
• OpenAI-0.1pt1%

+18 more outcomes

• Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
• Top coding AI this month (Arena.ai)
• Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
• Anthropic IPO by which date?
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by which date?
• Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
• OpenRouter token usage in Oct 19–25
• What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
• Best AI this week
• Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
• Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?