Fully autonomous (skin to skin) gallbladder surgery will be commonplace by 2074.

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Fully autonomous (skin to skin) gallbladder surgery will be commonplace by 2074.?

Manifold Markets prices Yes at 90.6% as of October 31, 2026.

When does Fully autonomous (skin to skin) gallbladder surgery will be commonplace by 2074. resolve?

Fully autonomous (skin to skin) gallbladder surgery will be commonplace by 2074. is scheduled to resolve on February 18, 2074.

How is Fully autonomous (skin to skin) gallbladder surgery will be commonplace by 2074. settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Will advances in robotics, AI, medicine and the United States regulatory state allow for on demand, gallbladder surgery by the year 2074.

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POLYMARKET

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

• No+0.9pt98%
• Yes-0.9pt2%

Total Vol

$18.9M

24h Vol

$16.6K

POLYMARKET

New pandemic in 2026?

• No+1.4pt98%
• Yes-1.4pt2%

Total Vol

$1.3M

24h Vol

$13.1K

KALSHI

Measles cases in 2026?

• Above 500098.5%
• Above 6000-3.0pt81.5%
• Above 7000+6.0pt52%

KALSHI

When will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1?

• Before 2027+1.0pt35.5%
• Before November0.5%

+1 more outcomes

Total Vol

$128.3K

24h Vol

$4.8K

POLYMARKET

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

• ↑5k-0.1pt99%
• ↑5.5k+5.5pt95%
• ↑6k+7.0pt88%

+13 more outcomes

KALSHI

Will a pneumonic plague case be reported in the U.S. this year?

• Before January 1, 20276%
• Before December 1, 20263.5%
• Before November 1, 20261.5%

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