During which month will Tumbles be late to pay back a loan?
AI
Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: June
Resolved: Jun 9, 2025, 7:02 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Probability Timeline
January0%
February0%
March0%
April0%
May0%
June99.9%
July0%
August0%
September0%
October0%
November0%
December0%
all loans paid back on time0%
JuneWon
JanuaryLost
FebruaryLost
MarchLost
AprilLost
MayLost
JulyLost
AugustLost
SeptemberLost
OctoberLost
NovemberLost
DecemberLost
all loans paid back on timeLost
Rules
Resolves to "the named outcome" if Tumbles does not owe anybody any mana.
- You can see how much mana Tumbles currently owes here: @/Tumbles/will-tumbles-ever-be-late-to-pay-ba
- If Tumbles is late to pay off a loan he accepted before he is debt free, this market resolves to the month during which it occurred.
- Note that each monthly option does not specify a particular year.
- Check out the Tumbles Financial Complex! 💸
- Update 2025-20-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution Criteria Clarification:
