Current community forecast
Yes 51%
Forecasters
8
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 4 hours ago
StaleAug 10, 23, 3:52 PM UTCJan 2, 33, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
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[Temporary market to group comments and feedback.
- I'll adjust the description and terms before officially starting it.
- If lots of people bet before it starts I may NA this one and make another one.
- There will be a series of markets about geoengineering covering different time scales and different organizations doing the work such as the usgov, in, EU, China, as well as other private companies.
- Please let me know what you think here or in discord]
- Musk, an existing company he founded, or a future company he founds will announce actual projects happening to do very large scale geoengineering to effect or relieve global warming by removing carbon from the atmosphere, or by reducing light absorption to the atmosphere using solar sails or umbrellas, or by emitting sulfur to reflect more light, or other project large scale.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for [don't bet yet, finalizing details] Will a Musk Company or Elon do large geoengineering projects for global warming??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 51% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does [don't bet yet, finalizing details] Will a Musk Company or Elon do large geoengineering projects for global warming? resolve?
- [don't bet yet, finalizing details] Will a Musk Company or Elon do large geoengineering projects for global warming? is scheduled to resolve on January 2, 2033.
- How is [don't bet yet, finalizing details] Will a Musk Company or Elon do large geoengineering projects for global warming? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: [Temporary market to group comments and feedback.