Current community forecast
Yes 94.6%
Forecasters
14
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 45 minutes ago
LaggingJan 13, 24, 3:58 AM UTCJan 13, 27, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will global warming be 2 °Celsius or higher in 2027, according to Berkeley Earth?
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KalshiWill 2026 be the hottest year ever?
KalshiRules
Berkeley Earth releases a Global Temperature Report each January that includes the previous year's global annual average temperature according to their data.
- For 2023, Berkeley Earth reported global warming was 1.54 °C. This question resolves YES if Berkeley Earth reports that annual average warming is equal to or higher than 1.50 degrees Celsius in 2026.
- For easy reference, here are Berkeley Earth's past numbers going back to 2010:
- [image]Same question but for:
