Will global warming be 2 °Celsius or higher in 2027, according to Berkeley Earth?
WeatherOne-OffScienceMacro & Economy2mo
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 95.7%
Forecasters
12
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 4 hours ago
StaleFeb 21, 25, 4:23 PM UTCJan 15, 27, 7:59 AM UTC
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Manifold MarketsRules
Berkeley Earth releases a Global Temperature Report each January that includes the previous year's global annual average temperature according to their data.
- For 2023, Berkeley Earth reported global warming was 1.54 °C. This question resolves YES if Berkeley Earth reports that annual average warming is equal to or higher than 2.00 degrees Celsius in 2027.
- For easy reference, here are Berkeley Earth's past numbers going back to 2010:
- [image]See also, same question but for:
- 2027 (this question)
