Does wearing polyester clothing actually cause negative health effects in humans according to the best evidence in 2034?
Health & MedicineOne-Off8yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 77.5%
Forecasters
12
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 12 hours ago
StaleDec 5, 24, 3:29 AM UTCDec 5, 34, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Rules
Resolves YES if according to my best judgement at the close date of this market based on reviewing the evidence, wearing polyester clothing leads to significant negative health effects in humans.
- NO otherwise.
- N/A if it's impossible to resolve accurately.
- Possible clarification from creator (AI generated):
- Negative health effects from children or adults chewing/sucking on polyester clothing will count if the risk is significant when considering realistic probability of this behavior
- Negative health effects from microplastics in water supply due to polyester clothing disposal will NOT count - resolution will assume constant polyester clothing use by others
