Does drinking from plastic bottles actually cause negative health effects in humans by the best evidence in 2034?
One-OffHealth & MedicineScience8yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 74.3%
Forecasters
14
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 15 hours ago
StaleDec 5, 24, 2:45 PM UTCDec 5, 34, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Rules
Resolves YES if according to my best judgement at the close date of this market based on reviewing the evidence, drinking from plastic bottles leads to significant negative health effects in humans.
- NO otherwise.
- N/A if it's impossible to resolve accurately.
- Possible clarification from creator (AI generated): Health risks from plastic bottles that have been stored for extended but reasonable periods will be considered in the resolution, as long as the risk is significant when accounting for the probability of bottles being stored for such durations.
- Update 2025-05-30 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Negative health effects will be judged relative to those from a reasonable alternative for consuming the water (such as glass bottles or tap water), rather than relative to the effects of not drinking water.
