Before January 1st, 2030, will any treatment for celiac disease be approved by the FDA?
Health & MedicineOne-Off3y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 52.9%
Forecasters
3
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 9 hours ago
StaleAug 13, 23, 9:17 PM UTCJan 1, 30, 4:59 AM UTC
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Rules
This question will resolve as YES if any treatment for celiac disease successfully completes Phase 3 trials and is subsequently approved by the FDA.
- If the process for drug approval changes between now and 2030 such that treatments do not follow the same trial process, this question will resolve as N/A. Otherwise, if the existing trials structure does not change and no treatment is approved, this question will resolve as NO.
- Here is some additional information: https://www.nytimes.com/2022/06/01/well/celiac-disease-treatment.html
