Are we about to hit another AI winter in 2026?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Are we about to hit another AI winter in 2026??

Manifold Markets prices No at 96.6% as of October 30, 2026.

When does Are we about to hit another AI winter in 2026? resolve?

Are we about to hit another AI winter in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.

How is Are we about to hit another AI winter in 2026? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Same as https://manifold.markets/IsaacKing/are-we-about-to-hit-another-ai-wint?r=TWF4aW1lUmljaGU, but about the year 2026.

Use this market in code or an AI agent

Free JSON for this market, no API key needed:

AI agents: call pm_data_event on the CoinRithm MCP server:

POLYMARKET

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

• ↑$1.5T-3.7pt92%
• ↑$1.75T85%
• ↑$2.0T-1.5pt71%

+11 more outcomes

Total Vol

$6.4M

24h Vol

$144.6K

KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Gemini+4.3pt55.9%
• Claude+4.3pt36.4%
• ChatGPT-0.9pt

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T-2.0pt28%
• $1.5–$1.75T+2.5pt24%
• $2.0–$2.25T-0.5pt21%

+7 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by which date?

• December 31-1.1pt92%
• November 30-10.5pt80%
• November 19-3.5pt72%

+27 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

• SpaceX+0.5pt53.1%
• Anthropic-4.1pt46.9%
• ByteDance0%

+9 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

• 1.5T+-2.3pt37%
• No IPO by December 31, 2027-1.6pt21%
• 1.25T–1.5T+1.0pt12%

+4 more outcomes

• Which company has the best AI model end of October?
• Anthropic IPO by which date?
• Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
• Google market share this week
• When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
• Anthropic IPO Date
• OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
• When will Gemini Carbon be released?
• GPT Astra 6.1+ released by which date?
• Anthropic announces bankruptcy by which date?