LimitlessCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedData quality warningNot meaningfully priced
Data as of Sep 8, 2026, 10:57 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
Before Nov 1, 2026 50%Leader of 4 outcomes
Market quality
22 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Liquidity
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Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Aug 26, 26, 5:04 PM UTCDec 2, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will direct passenger ferry service between mainland Taiwan and mainland China resume by end of 2026?”
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PolymarketRules
the named outcome · the named outcome · the named outcome · the named outcome.
If physical construction work on federal border security infrastructure inside Big Bend National Park resumes after Issuance and the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market.
- Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify.
- Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.
Only work inside the boundary of Big Bend National Park counts.
- Activity elsewhere along the border, including elsewhere in the Big Bend Border Patrol sector and on state or private land, is outside this market.
Federal border security infrastructure means patrol and access roads, vehicle barriers, fencing or wall, detection technology, surveillance towers, lighting and power lines installed for border security purposes.
- Work on any one component is enough, and it does not matter how the work is characterised by the agency or its contractors.
Qualifying work is physical: disturbing ground, or erecting or installing any of that infrastructure.
The following do NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion:
Surveying, mapping, environmental review or planning that does not disturb ground
Moving or staging equipment without physical work starting
Restoration, revegetation or remediation of ground disturbed before the pause
An announcement that work will resume on a future date
Outcome verified from The New York Times, the Associated Press, Bloomberg News, Reuters, Axios, Politico, Semafor, The Information, The Washington Post, The Wall Street Journal, ABC, CBS, CNN, Fox News, MSNBC, NBC, BBC, The Guardian, ABC News Australia, South China Morning Post, and CBC.
Open markets
ChinaPOLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.2pt96%
- Yes+0.2pt4%
- Total Vol
- $41.1M
- 24h Vol
- $116.3K
POLYMARKETXi Jinping out before 2027?
- No+0.2pt96%
- Yes-0.2pt4%
- Total Vol
- $13.1M
- 24h Vol
- $45K
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Beijing on September 9?
- 26°C+11.5pt52.4%
- 27°C+1.0pt22.9%
- 25°C-3.0pt16.2%
+8 more outcomes
POLYMARKETChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?
- No72.3%
- Yes27.7%
- Total Vol
- $414.1K
- 24h Vol
- $15.6K
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
- No+1.0pt89.1%
- Yes-1.0pt10.9%
- Total Vol
- $3.1M
- 24h Vol
- $12.8K
POLYMARKETWill Xi Jinping visit US by which date?
- October 31+1.4pt98%
- December 31+1.7pt97%
- September 30+0.5pt95%
+3 more outcomes
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
- How many tropical cyclones will make landfall in China during 2026?
- Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
- Kinmen County Magistrate Election Winner
- Will Xi Jinping visit the United States?
- Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
- China x Japan military clash before 2027?
- Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for When will Big Bend border construction resume??
- Limitless prices Before Nov 1, 2026 at 50% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does When will Big Bend border construction resume? resolve?
- When will Big Bend border construction resume? is scheduled to resolve on December 2, 2026.
- How is When will Big Bend border construction resume? settled?
- Limitless settles this market as follows: the named outcome · the named outcome · the named outcome · the named outcome. <p>If physical construction work on federal border security infrastructure inside Big Bend National Park resumes after Issuance and the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.</p><p><br></p><p>Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market.