KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 30, 2026, 3:10 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
Above $375,000 · —
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Stored price
Above $395,000 54.5%Market line of 12 lines
Above $395,000 54.5%Market quality
39 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$5.8
Open interest
$1K
Low open interestBid / Ask
— / —
Above $375,000Spread
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Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingOct 27, 26, 3:15 PM UTCNov 25, 26, 2:59 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Above $375,000
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
If the Median Sales Price for New Houses Sold in the United States (MSPNHSUS) for October 2026 is above $395,000, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:FRED Median New Home Price
- The Underlying is the first value published by FRED for the October 2026 observation of Median Sales Price for New Houses Sold in the United States (MSPNHSUS), stated in U.S. dollars, not seasonally adjusted.
Rules for each outcome
- Above $375,000
- If the Median Sales Price for New Houses Sold in the United States (MSPNHSUS) for October 2026 is above $375,000, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $380,000
- If the Median Sales Price for New Houses Sold in the United States (MSPNHSUS) for October 2026 is above $380,000, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $385,000
- If the Median Sales Price for New Houses Sold in the United States (MSPNHSUS) for October 2026 is above $385,000, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $390,000
- If the Median Sales Price for New Houses Sold in the United States (MSPNHSUS) for October 2026 is above $390,000, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $395,000
- If the Median Sales Price for New Houses Sold in the United States (MSPNHSUS) for October 2026 is above $395,000, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $400,000
- If the Median Sales Price for New Houses Sold in the United States (MSPNHSUS) for October 2026 is above $400,000, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $405,000
- If the Median Sales Price for New Houses Sold in the United States (MSPNHSUS) for October 2026 is above $405,000, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $410,000
- If the Median Sales Price for New Houses Sold in the United States (MSPNHSUS) for October 2026 is above $410,000, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $415,000
- If the Median Sales Price for New Houses Sold in the United States (MSPNHSUS) for October 2026 is above $415,000, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $420,000
- If the Median Sales Price for New Houses Sold in the United States (MSPNHSUS) for October 2026 is above $420,000, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $425,000
- If the Median Sales Price for New Houses Sold in the United States (MSPNHSUS) for October 2026 is above $425,000, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $430,000
- If the Median Sales Price for New Houses Sold in the United States (MSPNHSUS) for October 2026 is above $430,000, then the market resolves to Yes.